
I would like to give a big hello once again to everybody who read this blog. A few days ago, I decided to nuke the entire blog and read more while posting no more. I guess I was wrong. After some E-mails, conversations and the like, I was convinced to bring this blog back. Granted, this is going to make me look quite silly, and I do not expect to have any blog cred left. All the same, I do not expect any more traffic here like before, and will continue to post what I learn. I am not any smarter than I was a few days ago. With that said, I am going to post some news.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
The United States is sending the first batch of food aid into the DPRK, which followed the recent incomplete declaration given to officials in China and the destruction of the ageing Yongbyon cooling tower. According to the Associated Press, the food aid has nothing to do with these developments, but I think the timing is interesting. Whatever the case, this is the first shipment of 500,000 tons of food. The New York Times does not mention the non-association, but gives some details about the shipment:
The ship’s visit and the North Korean agreement to invite an additional 50 international relief experts from the World Food Program, as well as a consortium of U.S. relief agencies, followed recent progress in six-nation talks on ending the North’s nuclear weapons programs.
Emphasis mine. If the Associated Press says it has nothing to do with the talks, then why is the NYT implying it was? Perhaps the key word is “followed” and not necessarily tied to the recent developments (if one would label it as such). Furthermore, it appears Kim Jong Il is going to allow workers more access to more counties than previously allowed in the famine of the 1990’s, and while I do not have the places they are allowed to go, I will safely assume the regime will not let them near any of the concentration camps dotted around the country:
Until now, the WFP has had access to only 50 of the North’s 200 counties, distributing its aid through nurseries, schools, hospitals and orphanages. Under the new agreement, the agency will have access to 128 counties, including the remote and traditionally deprived northeast region and some counties never before accessible to humanitarian agencies.
“We will have a much greater degree of randomness to our monitoring visits,” said Tony Banbury, the WFP Asia regional director, in a telephone interview. “If the agreement is successfully implemented, as I expect it will be, we will indeed have the strongest assurances we have achieved that food aid is going to the intended beneficiaries,” Mr. Banbury said.
While I agree this is better than before, it still does not allow access to 72 counties. Why is that? I can venture a guess. I am sure you can as well. The regime is not opening up, which says to me they are still in a paranoid stance as they should be if in fact they are not allowing outsiders to see what is really going on in the DPRK. Also, another interesting tidbit is the type of food donated:
On Monday, it began unloading half of its cargo of 37,000 tons of U.S.-grown wheat, Risley said. The ship will discharge the other half of its cargo at Hungnam and Chongjin, ports on the North’s eastern coast.
Hmm, not rice. Interesting. Perhaps they took some advice from Marcus Noland. As you know, the elites like rice, and perhaps wheat will make things a little more unattractive. I do not have a rundown of all the foodstuffs sent or will be sent, but this part caught my eye.
As for the ROK, they offered corn, but North Korea did not want it. Maybe this is because of the more hawkish stance by Lee, but at this stage of the game, North Korea would be wise to get whatever it can because if I recall correctly, shipments of fertilizer were not sent. According to National Post, the fertilizer was indeed not sent. So that tells me crops should be in a very tough situation for a while. Therefore, it tells me until the next season starts, North Korea is going to rely almost entirely on aid. Not that it matters; it has been on the aid wagon for quite some time, only right now, it is spiralling directly into crisis mode. Just how serious it is remains unclear because of conflicting reports, but common sense tells me after the floods in August things must be very tough.
South Korea usually sends about 400,000 tonnes of rice and a hefty amount of fertilizer a year to North Korea but has not sent the aid this year as ties soured between the two when President Lee Myung-bak took office in February and promised a tough line toward Pyongyang.
With North Korea getting closer to the de-listing of state sponsors of terror, easing of sanctions and the like, one thing is very clear; the regime will not go away any time soon. what else happens remains to be seen.
Sphere: Related Content
Recent Comments